You thought it was all about geopolitics, you thought it was all about Jihadism, you thought it was all about neocolonialism, you thought it was all about Russians flexing their muscles….but as always, it was all about oil.
More and more people across the planet have seen maps (almost entirely on internet blogsites, I might add) showing the varously proposed ways of getting oil out of the ground and into Europe. So clear is what’s at stake when seen visually, it’s a case of not even having to join up the dots.
Some pipeline proposals cut Russia out (which is the US/EU aim) and some don’t. Syrian cooperation is crucial to most of them….but Syria has been allied to Russia from way before even Allah was God. The vehemently pro-Moscow Basshar Assad therefore had to go. Even though 72% of the Syrian people want him to stay. Even though trying to get rid of him has probably created the biggest European refugee disaster since 1940-41.
Evidence grows week by week – some of it down the rabbit hole, but most of it not – that almost certainly ISIS was created WHERE it was created in order to control the US-backed Syria/Iraq route to Qatar. It was done with the intimate cooperation of the Saudis – to knock Russia out of the market, and then raise prices – and perhaps also the UK….although that remains to be proved in my view.
And it was all done behind your back.
But from an early stage in the process, one-move-ahead Putin saw it coming, and poured arms, advice and support into Assad’s coffers. Unlike the Sheiks and the Texans, Vlad the Lad had a miltary objective: the destruction of all forces ranged against Syria’s alawhite leadership. He wasn’t going to go in and bomb things willy nilly to create more anarchy and give NATO more room to plead the case for Assad’s departure: he was going to take out American-backed rebels to the south, and the US/Sheik created ISIS to the east.
In two weeks, Russian forces have near-annihilated the effectiveness of all those keen to gain power at Basshar Assad’s expense. So either the American military is very crap, or their aim was mayhem, not military victory. You decide.
Either way, it was always about the price and distribution of oil, the survival of the petrodollar, and rich sheiks whose main leisure activity appears to be amateur amputation surgery.
So where does this leave our old friend Erdogan the Mad? As usual, it leaves him in every tent wherein there might be gains for him and his Islamist economic agenda….while behaving like a solid and loyal member of NATO.
Early on in the Syrian conflict – when Assad stood ludicrously accused of bombing Turkey – Recep Erdogan enthusiastically ‘confirmed’ the reports and began a media campaign of vilification against Syrian aggression. Not as strong then as he is now, Erdo abruptly cut off the vitriol when the Turkish public asked, “Are you kidding?”
But Erdogan is now back in power and busily engaged in eradicating the opposition. One of his favourite ‘fronts’ for this is to brand people he arrests ‘Daesh Takfiri sympathisers’. Daesh is a murderous Jihadist schism largely originating from Pakistan, present in Iraq/Syrian locations and keen to eliminate Assad as a traitor to radical Islam. Even the majority of Islamists think they’re mad. But oddly, the US left them alone….the more mayham the merrier, as they say in the Pentagon.
This is getting complicated (it always does) but bear with me, there’s a reveal coming. Yesterday, Turkishpolice arrested 38 foreigners for reportedly ‘seeking to join Daesh in Syria’. Local anti-Erdo media say the charge is risible. But even worse, it masks yet another of the many faces of Recep.
For behind your back, Erdogan the supplier of extremism is bunging munitions to these same anti-Assad Daesh beheaders via the Syrian border crossing at Jarablus, sources in Turkey report. While the Turkish leader blames Daesh Takfiri in public for supposed atrocities carried out on Turkish soil (to frighten people into supporting him), in practice he works with the régimes in Qatar and the UAE to prop them up on the NATO mission to get rid of Basshar Assad.
But does that make him just another loyal US toady? Nope, it makes him a liar….because he is now flying Daesh psychos to the Yemen….so they can help step up the attacks on the American-backed Saudis.
Over five years ago, UK Prime Minister David Cameron made a shameful speech in Ankara, licking Erdogan all over and suggesting that “Opposition to Turkish [EU] entry is based on prejudice. Hopefully, we can move in the coming weeks to direct talks between Israel and the Palestinians, so it’s Turkey that can make the case for peace, and Turkey that can help to press the parties to come together, and point the way to a just and viable solution.”
It was wrong, ill-informed, devious and probably American inspired; and as the Slogpost of the timeasserted:
‘Absolute drivelling bollocks. Turkey is the next Islamist target after Pakistan, and its presence in an already spineless EU would spread still further the nazified intolerance of any opposition to extreme Islamic law and beliefs.’
I would suggest that was reasonably prescient in the light of later events involving the ‘Second Wave’ of EU migrants that almost certainly came from Turkish internment camps.
Erdogan did it behind your back. Merkel welcomed them publicly, then ordered the Italians to turn them around – behind your back – for political gain. Brussels then did a deal with Erdogan – behind your back – to pay him money and shower praise upon him, if he stopped the flow of migrants. That helped him strut the world stage, win a Pariamentary majority, and then start doing what he’s up to now…..behind your back.
As Hungarian leader Viktor Orban is fond of saying, “If this is your idea of liberal democracy, you can keep it”.
TWO MORE REASONS TO VOTE LEAVE
Just as David Cameron thought things couldn’t get any worse in relation to the EU Referendum, they got dreadful.
For in Eurolalaland, the Kraut-to-Sprout liberty-crushing combine has a cunning plan to solve the migration crisis my Lord….a plan so cunningly hypocritical and ruthless, it was probably dreamed up by a dedicated team at JP Goldman Chase, all of whom have been to hyporuthlessplots.com in order to hone their craft.
It’s called stick and carrot.
Stage I: take down all silly banners on Town Halls saying ‘migrants welcome here, we love you kissy-kissy’.
Stage II: inform various African – note that term, not Arabian – governments that they are going to get in the region of 800,000 migrants back, using this sell: “The good news is, we’re going to give you oodles of Wonga to do it; the bad news is, we get to keep all the useful ones.”
According to what feels like about 247 leaks across Europe yesterday and Friday, the wording is ‘only those professionals with sufficient training to contribute to society will be granted visas’ for the EU.
Stage III: thrust all the doctors, engineers, nurses, dentists, and architects into EU infrastructure jobs, at half the rate currently being paid….while starving a North Africa ravaged by US foreign policy of the very kind of rebuilding expertise it needs.
Warning: failure to agree to this may result in shock and awe….up to but not including Turkey, where the dingbats of Brussels licked the murderous Recep Erdogan all over to get a secret deal on
SyrianTurkish prison-camp ‘refugees’, praising him to the skies and thus helping him get his parliamentary majority back.
The new stronger Erdogan could now walk away from the grubby deal he struck with Merkel about migrants he sent in the first place. As Athens sources insisted to me a fortnight ago, he doesn’t really want anything to do with the EU: the world’s all time champion Kurd killer only sought prestige from Brussels-am-Berlin when weak at home. Now he is free to pursue his favourite leisure activities: imprisoning dissenters, plotting the end of the Assad regime, backing hardline Islamist and Jihadist groups, and letting them use Turkey as a transit point through which to smuggle munitions and cash support into Syria.
O what derisory cock-ups they weave/when EC and Merkel set out to deceive.
Derisory maybe, but not cheap. Last Thursday, the EC committee met to try and quantify, in ballpark terms, the economic effects of the continent’s biggest humanitarian crisis since the EU began. Every last attempt by all means fair and foul to extract a number from the session failed. That should tell you all you need to know.
There appears to be no honour among thieves. Clubmed investment firms and BigSD players are using Draghi’s QE – entirely predictably – to flog worthless Bank of Italy bonds to the already bond-wallpapered ECB…. and then buying German Bunds with the proceeds. The Italians are the worst offenders – capital flight from the country is now alarming again, and precedes QE – but there can only be one end to this: Germany getting stronger and the ezone periphery getting weaker. Not helped, of course, by the huge (EC + ECB inflicted) capital flight from Greece this year….and increasingly nervy investors starting to pull out of rebellious Catalonia.
Draghi and his fellow smoothies love announcing blithely that capital “is now returning to the eurozone”. In fact, almost all of it is heading for Berlin. Meanwhile, those still selling the line of US recovery fail to mention capital flight from the various Brics, developing nations and former tigers as Fed ‘tapering’ heads towards alleged rate rises: year on year, it’s running at $1.2trillion. Quite a crowded flight, then.